Earnings Whispers - October 15, 2025

Summary for Wednesday, October 15, 2025

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A summary of guidance and results for the day, with a list of top surprises
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Top Earnings News

ASML Missed Expectations

Logo for Asml Holdings NY Reg ADRASML (ASML) reported earnings of $6.41 per share on revenue of $8.78 billion for the third quarter ended September 2025. The consensus earnings estimate was $6.27 per share on revenue of $8.81 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $6.49 per share. The company missed expectations by 1.23% while revenue grew 7.04% on a year-over-year basis.

The company said it expects fourth quarter revenue of $10.70 billion to $11.39 billion. The current consensus revenue estimate is $11.02 billion for the quarter ending December 31, 2025.

ASML Holding NV is a provider of lithography systems for the semiconductor industry, manufactures complex machines that are critical to the production of integrated circuits or chips. Its products include TWINSCAN, PAS 5500, Optics, among others.

Chart for Asml Holdings NY Reg ADR

Positive Guidance

United Airlines Guides Above Estimates

Logo for United AirlinesUnited Airlines (UAL) said it expects fourth quarter earnings of $3.00 to $3.50 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $2.67 per share for the quarter ending December 31, 2025.

United Continental Holdings Inc transports people and cargo through its mainline operations, which use jet aircraft with at least 118 seats, and its regional operations.

Chart for United Airlines

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Negative Guidance

Hyperfine Guides Below Estimates

Logo for HyperfineHyperfine (HYPR) said it expects third-quarter revenue of approximately $3.40 million. The current consensus revenue estimate is $3.51 million for the quarter ending September 30, 2025.

Hyperfine, Inc. is the groundbreaking medical technology company that created the Swoop® system, the world’s first FDA-cleared portable magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) system capable of providing neuroimaging at the point of care.

Chart for Hyperfine

Other Top Guidance Announcements

CSWCCapital Southwest Guides Above Estimates
DLTRDollar Tree Reaffirms
BGBunge Updates Guidance
VNTVontier Provides Mixed Guidance
EPACEnerpac Tool Guides In-line
FRFirst Industrial Realty Trust Raises Guidance
REXRRexford Industrial Narrows Guidance Above Estimates
CFGCitizens Financial Guides Above Estimates
HPEHPE Sees 2026 Earnings Below Estimates
PLDPrologis Raises Guidance
ABTAbbott Narrows Guidance
SYFSynchrony Financial Narrows Guidance

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Positive Surprise

Plumas Bancorp Beat Consensus Estimates

Logo for Plumas BancorpPlumas Bancorp (PLBC) reported earnings of $1.35 per share on revenue of $32.05 million for the third quarter ended September 2025. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.66 per share on revenue of $28.10 million. The company beat consensus estimates by 104.55% while revenue grew 32.97% on a year-over-year basis.

Plumas Bank is a locally managed, full-service award-winning community bank. With 19 branch offices in Northeastern California and Northern Nevada, and loan production offices in California and southern Oregon.

Chart for Plumas Bancorp

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Negative Surprise

Progressive Missed Expectations

Logo for Progressive CorpProgressive (PGR) reported earnings of $4.05 per share on revenue of $22.51 billion for the third quarter ended September 2025. The consensus earnings estimate was $5.08 per share on revenue of $22.42 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $5.14 per share. The company missed expectations by 21.21% while revenue grew 14.16% on a year-over-year basis.

Progressive Corp is an insurance holding company, whose subsidiaries provides personal and commercial automobile insurance and other property-casualty insurance and related services throughout the United States.

Chart for Progressive Corp

A calendar showing logos of companies scheduled to report earnings on the next business day.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited is Expected to Beat Estimates

Logo for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company LimitedTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) is confirmed to report earnings on Thursday, October 16, 2025 at approximately 2:00 AM ET. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.59 per share on revenue of $31.65 billion, respresenting 34.7% year-over-year revenue growth, and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.69 per share. Investors are 31.6% bullish going into the company's earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 5.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.7% move in recent quarters.

Chart for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

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A list showing logos of companies scheduled to report earnings on the next business day based on expected moves.


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