Where in the US have gas prices jumped the most since the US-Iran conflict?

With the US-Iran war escalating, oil markets have become the global gauge of the conflict — and American drivers are already feeling the pain at the pump.

On Sunday, crude prices surged past $110 a barrel for the first time since the early days of the Russia-Ukraine war in 2022 as tankers began avoiding the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow chokepoint along Iran’s coast through which roughly one-fifth of global oil supply flows every day. 

Because gasoline is refined from crude — with 60% of the pump price tied to oil costs — the shock is already showing up at gas stations. The national average price of regular gasoline climbed to $3.48 per gallon on Monday, up nearly 50 cents (+17%) from when the US and Israeli strikes on Iran began on February 28, according to the American Automobile Association.

But the price hikes aren’t landing evenly across the country.

States that have seen the sharpest increases include Indiana (+23%), Ohio (+22%), Oklahoma (+21%), and Texas (+20%). While these regions had relatively cheaper gasoline to start with — below $3 a gallon, leaving more room to rise — they’re also deeply connected to the Gulf Coast refinery network, which runs on crude priced against global benchmarks. So, when Middle East disruption sends those prices surging, the shock travels straight through the pipelines to local pumps.

Western states, however, saw far smaller increases. Hawaii (+3%), Washington (+6%), Oregon (+7%), Alaska (+9%), and Idaho (+9%) each posted single-digit price jumps, as the region operates largely outside the Gulf Coast fuel network, meaning that shocks from the Middle East tend to arrive slower and softer. They also had generally higher prices to begin with.

Still, Energy Secretary Chris Wright said Friday the surge in gas prices should last "weeks, not months,” while President Trump yesterday called rising oil prices "a very small price to pay” for “safety and peace.”

For now, US drivers are already shelling out roughly $187 million extra per day on gasoline compared with the weekend before, per Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at GasBuddy. In a Substack post on Sunday, De Haan also said there’s roughly an 80% chance the national average reaches $4 per gallon “within the next month or sooner.” At the time of writing, prediction markets seem to broadly agree with him.

Read this on the web instead

Timothée Chalamet has upset opera and ballet fans a week before the Oscars

A conversation between Oscar winner Matthew McConaughey and Best Actor nominee Timothée Chalamet at the University of Texas in February went viral over the weekend.

But rather than creating buzz about the motion picture arts, the “Marty Supreme” actor has drawn ire over his comments about the classical arts instead: “I don't want to be working in ballet, or opera, or things where it's like, ‘Hey, keep this thing alive, even though like no one cares about this anymore.’ All respect to all the ballet and opera people out there.”

Now, with less than a week to go before the 98th Academy Awards, backlash from the ballet and opera worlds has already seen traders on prediction markets react in favor of another Best Actor hopeful, “Sinners” star Michael B. Jordan.

Let slipper

Final voting for this year’s Academy Awards officially closed on March 5 — which means that the recent outcry over Chalamet’s comments can’t really have had any true impact on his chances of scooping the Best Actor Oscar this coming weekend.

Still, the ballet and opera communities have voiced their frustrations with the actor’s recent comments, including industry icons, the actor’s old school, and the Metropolitan Opera, America’s biggest opera institution. While the notable retaliation goes some way in proving that people do still “care” about the art forms, the Met Opera’s mounting financial woes have seen the institution turn to the likes of Saudi Arabia and Elon Musk to try and help sustain its business, the New York Times reported yesterday.

Looking at the Met’s financial reports, the company has started to tap into its endowment fund to offset mounting expenses, as ticket revenues continue to shrink. Per the NYT, the size of its endowment fund has decreased by one-third since 2022 to just $212 million today.

Keep Carmen, Carry On

Due to rising production costs, the 2026-27 season will be the Met’s smallest in at least 60 years, with just 17 productions on the slate. Naturally, though, it’s leaning into the classics: 71 of the 187 individual opera performances this year will be across “La Bohème,” “Aida,” and “Tosca” — all of which are among the Met’s top 5 most-performed operas ever... and all of which were last shown in 2025.

Read this on the web instead