Plus: đïž A watchlist of 20 everyday brands with moats
Narratives you should be watching | | |
| - Why Lululemon isn't a broken brand, but a business priced for a decline that hasn't happened.
- Why Alphabet isn't a buy simply because Buffett bought it, but a reminder that price still matters.
- Why Veeva Systems isn't just software, but a compliance moat pharmaceutical companies can't route around.
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| Quantifying the Transition: Why Lululemonâs Moat Remains Intact |
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| | Why this Narrative made this weekâs picks | Lululemon is navigating a leadership change and a bruised brand, with the stock down sharply from its highs. Author ran a probability-based simulation instead of a single forecast, and finds the market pricing in a decline far harsher than the balance sheet supports. | Authorâs valuation assumes ~8% p.a. revenue growth for 5 years. | |
| | Warren Buffett Just Bet $10 Billion on Google. The Catch? You May Already Be Too Late. |
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| | Why this Narrative made this weekâs picks | Berkshire Hathaway just put $10 billion into Alphabet, and the stock has run past even the bull case. Author argues Alphabet is one of the strongest businesses in the market, then immediately qualifies it: a wonderful business at the wrong price is still a poor investment. | Authorâs valuation assumes ~15% p.a. revenue growth for 10 years. | |
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| AI-Powered Veeva Systems Poised for Solid Growth Amid Regulatory Stability |
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| | Why this Narrative made this weekâs picks | Veeva sits inside pharmaceutical workflows customers cannot easily rip out without real compliance risk. Author argues that durability, not the software itself, is the real investment case. The company's new AI platform is treated as upside still waiting to be proven, not a guaranteed driver. | Authorâs valuation assumes ~19% p.a. revenue growth for 5 years. | |
| | | Watchlist: Everyday Moats | | 20 companies · curated by tripledub | | AAPL | NFLX | MCD | NKE | COST | +15 | | | 20 market-leading brands the author uses, wears, eats, or relies on daily, tracked for the kind of durable edge that comes from firsthand experience, not a spreadsheet. | | See the Watchlist | | |
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