Plus: 🏦 Dividend at a Discount, A watchlist of 30 underpriced quality companies
Narratives you should be watching | | |
| - Why Mastercard isn't the payments giant being disrupted by, but the dividend compounder most investors are overlooking
- Why Intuit's biggest selloff in years might actually be its most compelling buying opportunity.
- Why Mindwalk isn't the wet-lab business it left behind years ago, but an AI drug discovery platform hiding in plain sight.
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| Mastercard: The Best Dividend Stock You're Ignoring |
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| | Why this Narrative made this week’s picks | Stablecoin fears and regulatory noise have compressed Mastercard's multiple to a five-year low, while earnings keep growing in the mid-teens. Author argues the selloff is a sentiment story, not a business story, and that fourteen straight years of dividend raises with a low payout ratio makes this the most overlooked income compounder. | Author’s valuation assumes ~14% p.a. revenue growth for 5 years. | |
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| Intuit: A Wonderful Business at a Not-So-Wonderful Price |
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| | Why this Narrative made this week’s picks | Intuit is down over sixty percent from its peak and is being priced like a franchise in freefall. Author tracks the drawdown, stress-tests every bear case, and concludes the QuickBooks moat is intact, the government tax filing threat is gone, and a decade-long dividend grower is now trading below author's revised worst case. | Author’s valuation assumes ~10% p.a. revenue growth for 10 years. | |
| | The Asymmetric TechBio Play: MindWalk Holdings and the Valuation Disconnect |
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| | Why this Narrative made this week’s picks | MindWalk is an under-the-radar biotech company that has quietly reinvented itself from a niche wet-lab business into a high-margin SaaS platform for AI-driven drug discovery. Author argues the market hasn't noticed the transformation yet, and that a technology already producing breakthroughs is underpriced. | Author’s valuation assumes an estimated revenue of US$ 140m in 5 years | |
| | | Watchlist pick: Dividend at a Discount - 30 value & dividend companies 30 quality businesses from the US, Europe, and Canada with yields above 1.5%, mispriced by the market, not by their fundamentals. | | | See the list | | |
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