Hey Investor, This week’s picks cover: 📈 Why Alphabet can leverage its platforms to compound returns. 🛰️ How Planet Labs is positioned for growth in the earth observation industry. -
🛢️ Why Exxon’s Guyana and South America operations could deliver upside. |
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Alphabet: The Under-appreciated Compounder Hiding in Plain Sight |
Alphabet’s AI and Cloud businesses are driving growth and reducing reliance on Search, with its massive user base offering unmatched distribution for new AI products. Upside remains from long-term bets like Waymo and DeepMind, adding further optionality to the story. |
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~27.9% undervalued vs current price |
Based on ~9% p.a. Revenue growth for 5 years |
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💡 Why we like it: BlackGoat reframes Alphabet as a misunderstood value compounder, rather than a flashy AI bet, and makes a convincing case. They walk the reader through each major business line, tie in future optionality like Waymo, and cap it off with a clear valuation anchor. The structure is clean, the tone is measured, and the focus on execution risk over AI hype is a refreshing angle. |
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Planet Labs: At The Heart Of The Emerging New Space Boom |
Planet Labs’ expansion into satellite services and large government contracts is accelerating growth and profitability, while its leading constellation and startup partnerships position it to benefit from rising Earth Observation demand. Ongoing industry growth and commercial adoption provide further upside potential. |
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~43.8% undervalued vs current price |
Based on ~30% p.a. Revenue growth for 5 years | | |
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💡 Why we like it: This narrative is short, sharp, and purposeful. The latest update is a great example of how to keep followers in the loop without over-explaining. Andreas provides timely context, a set of clear catalysts, and new contract wins to validate their original narrative. It’s tight, forward-looking, and shows how to build conviction without needing pages of detail. |
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Exxon in Guyana 5 year forecast Low $135 to High $189 |
Exxon’s Guyana and Brazil assets drive significant production growth and boost earnings, while low-cost operations and buybacks support profitability in a volatile oil market. Upside depends on successful project execution and oil prices, with risks from inflation, regulation, and demand shifts. |
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~41% undervalued vs current price |
Based on ~14% p.a. Revenue growth for 5 years | | |
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💡 Why we like it: This narrative shows serious thought and detail, but what stands out most is how the author breaks down valuation in a way that’s both structured and flexible. The base case feels grounded, while the bull and bear ranges give readers tools to run their own mental models to see what they think is likely. It’s also great to see a clear, personal investing plan at the end, showing how this narrative fits into a broader strategy. |
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What's next?
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3. ✨ Discover more Narratives: There are hundreds of other insightful stock narratives on our Community page.
4. ✍️ Build an audience: Have your narrative seen by millions of investors, simply meet our Featuring criteria to go into the running! |
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| This email is from Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd
Level 5, 320 Pitt St Sydney 2000, NSW, Australia. BlackGoat is an employee of Simply Wall St, but has written a narrative in their capacity as an individual investor. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. These narratives are general in nature and explore scenarios and estimates created by the authors. These narratives do not reflect the opinions of Simply Wall St, and the views expressed are the opinion of the author alone, acting on their own behalf. These scenarios are not indicative of the company’s future performance and are exploratory in the ideas they cover. The fair value estimates are for informational purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock. They do not take into account your objectives or financial situation. Note that the author’s analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
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